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02.02.2018

India - Budget 2018: Govt increases allocation for PM Fasal Bima Yojna by 44%

The Finance Minister Arun Jaitley today proposed to increase the budget allocation for the crop insurance scheme--Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana - by 44 percent year-on-year to Rs 13,000 crore for 2018-19. For the current financial year 2017-18, the government had allocated Rs 9,000 crore in its budgeted estimate for the scheme. However, in the revised estimates, the amount has been increased to Rs 10,698 crore. The crop insurance scheme aims to support sustainable production in agriculture by providing financial support to farmers suffering crop damage or loss arising out of unforeseen events. The scheme was launched on April 1, 2016 to ensure the flow of credit to the agriculture sector, which will in -turn contribute to food security, crop diversification. The Fasal Bima Yojana a major initiative towards farmers, for them to feel secure against natural calamities at the time of sowing. The coverage of this scheme was increased from 30 percent of cropped area in 2016-17 to 40 percent in 2017-18 and 50 percent in 2018-19 to 98 million ha gross crop area. The scheme was launched after rolling back previous schemes such as National Agriculture Insurance Scheme, Weather-based Crop Insurance scheme, and Modified National Agricultural Insurance Scheme. Agriculture ministry has migrated from claim-based insurance schemes to an upfront subsidy for a premium- based system. The part liability of claims of previous years (prominently kharif 2015 and rabi 2015-16 have also to be paid along with the upfront premium subsidy under the scheme for kharif and rabi 2017-18. Source - http://www.moneycontrol.com

02.02.2018

Philippines - Lava spreads 3 kilometers from Mayon

Lava has spread up to 3.6 kilometers from Mt. Mayon’s crater since it began intense eruptions more than two weeks ago and volcanic ash has caused P165.5 million in damage to agriculture in Albay province. Streaks of red glowed atop the summit of Mayon during a mild eruption on Thursday morning, hours after a rare display of a super blue blood moon. The Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) said lava fountains and emissions of gas and ash had been sporadic. The eruptions fed lava flows in two areas that already exceed 3 km, Phivolcs said. The danger zone around Mayon extends 8 km, though authorities have struggled to keep villagers from returning to check on their homes and farms and tourists from trying to photograph the volcano’s dramatic displays. Mayon in northeastern Albay has been erupting for more than two weeks, forcing more than 84,000 villagers to flee to crowded emergency shelters. Scientists fear a more violent eruption. Damaging ashfall The eruptions have blanketed swaths of farm land with ash. The Office of Civil Defense (OCD) said on Thursday that as of Jan. 30, damage to rice fields had reached P139.8 million; high-value commercial crops, P20.9 million; corn, P4.4 million; abaca, P478,000. Located about 10 km from Mayon is a 3-hectare rice field owned by Sonny Oliquino, 47. Oliquino has been checking on his field at Barangay Libod in Camalig town every day for almost three weeks now to manually shake off ash from the paddy rice stalks. Although the village is outside the danger zone, it is not free from ashfall. “Our work here is very much affected by ashfall,” Oliquino said, adding he needed to keep the paddy rice free of ash to prevent it from dying. “We need to move and work so we have food to eat,” he said. Gilma Morato, a councilor at Barangay San Jose, said paddy rice in the village had dried up from ashfall. Early fish harvest In Libon town, fish raisers expected to be affected by ashfall have been advised by the authorities to harvest their products early to avoid losses. Ian Secillano, a municipal disaster risk reduction and management officer of Libon, said varying amounts of ash had reached the town since Mayon began to erupt. In Guinobatan town, fruit and vegetable prices are unchanged but authorities have seen a decline in the number of vendors, especially those from villages within the hazard zone. Elzer Orbeso, a public market supervisor of Guinobatan, said few vendors make it to town even on market days. For consumers from neighboring municipalities, produce is cheapest in Guinobatan, Orbeso said. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) has warned that ashfall will affect the towns of Libon, Oas, Polangui, Camalig, Guinobatan, Pio Duran and the city of Ligao when Mayon erupts again. Source - https://newsinfo.inquirer.net

01.02.2018

China - Climate change to adversely impact grain production by 2030

Food production systems are particularly vulnerable to adverse impact of climate change, and it is one of the key factors affecting food security in China. Rising temperature reduces the growth period of grains leading to yield reduction on an average, while frequent seasonal drought places stress on water supply for irrigation. Safeguarding food security, particularly the food production systems, from the adverse impacts of climate change is a fundamental priority under the 2015 Paris Agreement. In the case of China, seasonal drought could lead to substantial losses. Our research reveals in the worst scenario seasonal drought could result in losses of nearly 8 percent by 2030, in yields of three major grains —rice, wheat and corn. Corn yields are likely to suffer the most, estimated to drop by nearly one-fifth of total production, followed by wheat at 4 percent and rice at 1.5 per cent. We obtain these results by assessing the impact of climate change on grain production and total land area sown in China by applying the Chinese Agricultural Policy Analysis model, in combination with agricultural census data. Studies have shown climate warming can shorten the growth period of local crops through early flowering and fruit-bearing, leading to a reduction in dry matter accumulation, seeds’ weight, and the crop yields. Typically, a one degree Celsius increase in temperature in the full growth cycle can reduce the growth period of rice by nearly 4 days, wheat by 10 days and corn by 7 days. The climate warming, though, has mixed results on grain production. On one hand, it shortens crop growth duration and causes yield decline, on the other hand, it generates abundant heat resources. China has developed several strategies to adapt to climate change, including adjusting cropping pattern, strengthening agricultural infrastructure, deferring sowing time to avoid high-temperatures or drought, water-saving techniques to increase the efficiency of water, and adopting mulching technology to prevent frost in late spring, but they aren’t enough to mitigate the adverse impact. Our second scenario projecting the impact solely of climate warming reveals a drop in the yields of wheat, corn and rice by nearly 4, 3, and 2 per cent respectively. The third scenario, modeling the adaptation technique of water-saving irrigation, reveals an increase in yields of corn, wheat and rice by nearly 10, 2 and 1 percent respectively. The fourth scenario, examines the impact of adoption of new crop varieties, and indicates a significant increase in corn, wheat and rice yields by nearly 12, 3 and 15 percent. However, the fifth integrated scenario that combines both water-saving techniques and adoption of new crop varieties can offset reductions due to climate warming and seasonal drought, and even lead to higher yields. This integrated scenario considers both the negative impact of climate change as well as adaptation strategies; and is closer to what is likely to happen in the future, and thus holds significance for policymakers. In the integrated approach, grain production is likely to increase by one-fifth, with the biggest yield increase in rice by nearly 30 percent, corn 19 percent, and wheat 1.6 percent. Research has shown adaptation practices are remunerative enough for farmers to adopt voluntarily. But, urgent steps need to be taken to upgrade China’s rural water infrastructure and promote breeding new varieties through research and agriculture extension services. Additionally, local governments should provide technical support to farmers to adjust crop selections from water intensive crops to drought-tolerant crops, especially in seasonal drought regions. Source - http://news.trust.org

01.02.2018

Canada - MASC comes under fire at organic insurance update

Organic producers are not happy with their crop insurance. Maurice Gaultier, Manitoba Agricultural Services Corporation (MASC) insurance sales and service manager for the southern region, faced pointed questions Jan. 18 during his organic insurance update at Ag Days. MASC and the Manitoba Organic Alliance have been looking for a middle road on insurance for months. Both have said that the program is not working as it stands. Farmer uptake lags, there are wide concerns over valuation and MASC’s bottom line lands in the red every season. There will be no substantial changes to the program this year and a 2019 timeline is still questionable as well, Gaultier said, to the disappointment of the crowd. The issues MASC’s price valuation falls far short of what a producer could expect on the market. The insurance provider values oats and wheat at 1-1/2 times their conventional price, a bar that both sides agree is below market price. Flax, meanwhile, doubles its value. Organic red spring wheat is valued at $9.39 per bushel, while winter wheat brings in $6.94, oats are valued at $4.16 and flax goes up to $22.10 a bushel. Those prices are “a joke,” producers told Gaultier Jan. 18. “It hasn’t been $9 in 10 years,” one listener said when presented with wheat valuation numbers. Yuri Genik, who farms near Dauphin, estimates that the actual price point lies between two and four times conventional prices. MASC, however, argues that it is already losing money from the organic program. The corporation lost about $300,000 on the organic program between 2005 and 2015, Doug Wilcox, MASC manager of insurance program development, said during the Manitoba Organic Alliance annual meeting in October. “We’re paying out far more than what the premium is actually bringing in,” Gaultier said. Higher values will also come with higher premiums, MASC warns. Organic wheat now comes with a $17.72 per acre premium, compared to $6.22 for conventional, while flax will cost the producer $20.74 an acre, compared to $7.27 in conventional flax. The spread is tighter for oats, at $13.34 compared to $6 per acre for conventional. Gaultier also noted that a producer’s coverage will improve with successful years. There is a 10-year transition for each crop before probable yield is based entirely on individual yield, although the corporation also has a five-year fast track for new organic producers. Genik isn’t totally satisfied with that argument. “They’re charging us a much higher premium for a lot less coverage… it doesn’t take somebody very smart to figure out that, that just isn’t a sustainable thing to be even carrying,” he said. “It doesn’t take risk off. It actually, in some cases like myself, added risk to the plate because of the cost of the insurance and what just happened after.” His farm was “devastated” last year after a hard spring meant he missed seeding windows, he said. Conventional only Despite complaints in the room, Alan McKenzie says he has had good experience with his adjusters. The longtime organic producer was one of several organic speakers on the lineup during Ag Days. “We’ve had very good adjusters who’ve treated us fairly and, yes, the organic coverage is not near enough money for what you pay for it, so we, half of the time, just use conventional coverage because it’s dollar-for-dollar better bang for your buck,” he said. About three-quarters of his crop could be insured organic this year, but only a quarter of his acres will typically have organic insurance, he said. “If I’m feeling confident that it’s a good, clean field, I’ll just roll the dice and run conventional on it, where, if I’m concerned that it might have some weed pressure issues or something like that, that could cause some red flags to show up, or I’m just kind of worried in general, then I’ll kind of throw the organic coverage on it,” he said. At the same time, current valuation is “ridiculous,” he added. “You can traditionally show that wheat has been 2.5 times (conventional), so I think that’s where it should really come out at — at least twice anyway,” he said, pointing to the markup on flax. “I understand too that higher valuation comes with a higher premium and then it comes to a point of, how much you can afford. But definitely it’s way too low,” he said. Katherine Storey, president of the Manitoba Organic Alliance, agrees. “You can’t have numbers like that and expect people to participate,” she said. Shrinking pool Laura Telford, organic specialist with Manitoba Agriculture, estimates that there are over 170 organic producers in Manitoba and a small portion of those insure organic. MASC says that some farmers may choose to insure their crops conventionally, although it’s unclear how many producers have taken them up on the option. Farms that choose conventional insurance take a risk on weeds, since weeds are a designated peril in organic insurance and farmers can get coverage for having to reseed. MASC’s profit problem may stem from this shrinking pool, farmers say. Profitable producers have slowly dropped out of the program, creating a higher proportion of high-risk users in the pool and eating at MASC’s bottom line, they argued Jan. 18. “It’s a self-fulfilling prophecy,” Genik said. “The cost of the premiums are high, the coverage is terrible and so, in the end, it ends up that more and more people keep dropping out. The ones who are actually doing a fairly good job or doing the best they can, the ones who will be supporting the program with higher yields and much fewer claims are now gone, so now you’re left with a lot more of these people who have claims more often that are basically taking away from the system,” he added. Storey, however, says it shouldn’t matter how many are participating in the program. “Either the program works or it doesn’t and it’s our job to figure out why it’s not working and maybe we won’t be able to offer a solution because of that small pool, but at least we should be able to identify where in the program the programs are happening,” she said. Lack of data The small pool also ties into data availability. MASC is confident in its conventional crop data, since the vast majority of acres are insured. With fewer participants, that is not the case in organic insurance. MASC estimates that only one-third of organic producers are insured organically and kicking data back into the corporation. They guess another one-third are using conventional insurance and one-third do not insure with MASC at all. The corporation says changes this year may help address some of that lack. Farmers will be able to report acres as organic, even if they’re not insured organic. Price data is also a sticking point, David Van Deynze, MASC vice-president of insurance operations says. “Typically, for our conventional crops, there’s a lot of forecasting data,” he said. “There’s a lot of people who are in that business to say what the price of wheat is going to be a year from now — canola, same thing — there’s just not that level of data and forecasting tools available for organic crops, so it’s a challenge for us to essentially predict what the organic price is going to be into the future and that’s kind of the way our insurance program is designed.” Producers in the Jan. 18 meeting argued that they are already producing acreage and yield data in their seeding and harvest reports. They have provided contracts to indicate what they would have been paid for a crop while trying to make a claim, they added. Van Deynze, however, says there is an inherent bias to relying on claims for price data. “Only a small percentage of producers actually make claims, right? So we don’t get a very representative dataset in the first place,” he said. “And then secondly, sometimes with contract prices, if there’s a claim, there could be a claim on a crop because of quality issues, for example, so now you’ve got a price that we receive, but it might be a lower quality than what the normal quality is for a particular crop.” More crops needed Only three crops meet the acreage needed to be insured, MASC says, although the Manitoba Organic Alliance argues that hemp, peas, fall rye and barley should also make the list. Wilcox’s figures showed 1,964 acres of organic barley and 2,991 acres of rye in 2016, he presented last October. MASC usually requires a consistent 5,000 acres before insuring a crop. “We’ve been asked once or twice in the past to potentially insure those crops, but we’re worried about taking on a large acreage of organic crops when, with the core programs we have right now having high losses, we’re hoping to get those programs organized and straightened out before we expand to forages or barley or hemp or whatever is recommended we go forward with next,” he said at the time. Storey says that all issues brought up Jan. 18 have also made their way to a working group between the Manitoba Organic Alliance and MASC. The group has had two meetings, with another expected in February or March. “We’re understanding the program more. They’re understanding organics more. I think it’s going in a good direction. I have no idea how long it’s going to take,” Storey said. Changes can’t come fast enough for Genik. The producer says he will not insure organic again until changes are made. Source - https://www.manitobacooperator.ca

01.02.2018

USA - Destructive hailstorms could someday be predicted weeks in advance

Ruinous for cars, homes and especially crops, hailstorms are the USA's most economically destructive hazard that come from severe thunderstorms, usually even worse than tornadoes. During the past few years alone, hail has led to an estimated $10 billion per year in economic damage costs, according to reinsurance company Aon Benfield. Now, a new study finds these weather disasters could be predicted as much as three weeks in advance by checking wind patterns thousands of miles away. Researchers found a strong relationship between jet-stream patterns over the Pacific Ocean and the frequency of hail in the U.S., said study lead author Victor Gensini of Northern Illinois University. “In simple terms, when the jet stream is really wavy, the likelihood of experiencing hail greatly increases.” Jet streams are the rivers of fast-moving air located high in the atmosphere — above about 20,000 feet — that steer and guide storms around. The study looked back at nearly 40 years of data and found that a wavy jet stream over the Pacific was a good predictor of major hailstorms two to three weeks later in the U.S. Gensini and his co-author John Allen of Central Michigan University said these links were most pronounced during the spring and fall but less so in the summer. The study has been accepted for publication in the peer-reviewed journal Geophysical Research Letters. While the new method could help forecast hail activity for the nation overall, portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kentucky, Missouri, Mississippi, Tennessee, Illinois and Indiana are most vulnerable to the phenomenon. Such long-range forecasts could be useful for insurance companies and emergency managers and allow homeowners and farmers to prepare, said meteorologist Steve Bowen of Aon Benfield. "We’ve seen major hail events happen before, and we’ll certainly see similar events happen again in the future. Hail swaths can also do real damage to crops, too," Bowen said. The hail study continues similar research started by Gensini two years ago on long-range tornado predictions. “There’s a high degree of correlation between environments that produce hail and tornadoes, but not all storms produce both hazards,” he said. “We’re starting to demonstrate more clearly a pathway to increase the lead time for severe weather forecasts, now with both hailstorms and tornadoes." “We will be testing the relationships this spring when severe weather season ramps up,” Gensini added. New research finds a strong relationship between a wavy jet-stream pattern over the Pacific Ocean and severe U.S. hailstorms. Source - http://www.king5.com

01.02.2018

Nigeria - Five insurers to sell index-based agric insurance

The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has granted product approval to five insurance companies participating in the Index-Based Agricultural Insurance (IBAI) pilot scheme. The Director, Inspectorate, NAICOM Barineka Thompson, who disclosed this last week in Benin City, Edo State, noted that the approvals are in line with the on-going efforts by the present administration to diversify the Nigerian economy and create opportunities to promote Agric business and employment, stressing that IBAI is a programme in support of the policy of government. According to him, IBAI is a relatively new financial instrument for transferring agriculture risks from individuals or groups of farmers to international risk carriers Insurers, adding that in an Index-Based System, when a claim is triggered for a specific area, all insured units, farmers, within a given geographical area and having similar characteristics, are compensated at the same payout rate, usually a percentage of the sum insured, on events specifically covered by the policy (usually those for which the proxy(ies) meet the specified triggers). He said IBAI pays out benefits on the basis of a predetermined index (e.g. rainfall level, crop yield) for loss of assets and investments, primarily working capital, resulting from weather and catastrophic events, without requiring the traditional insurance services and that the purpose is to compensate farmers in the event of a loss resulting from shared risks (rather than individual risk) associated with weather fluctuations, disease outbreaks or poor yield. Thompson, said NAICOM is collaborating with the Nigeria Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) on the initiative, stressing that NIRSAL is looking to expand insurance products for agricultural lending from the current coverage of 0.5 million to 3.8 million agricultural primary producers. He said the pilot scheme is running in 10 states – Adamawa; Bauchi; Benue; Kaduna; Kano; Kasina; Kebbi; Nasarawa; Taraba and Zafara, whilst the crops are, rice; maize; soya and sorghum. Source - https://independent.ng

01.02.2018

India - PMFBY not benefiting farmers

The Rashtriya Kisan Manch (RKM) today alleged that farmers were not being benefited under the Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY) as "private companies" had imposed a number of restrictions. The forum also urged the Centre and Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley to bring an alternate scheme for growers. "Since farmers are not getting the benefit of the PMFBY, crop insurance scheme, owing to number of restrictions, imposed by private companies, the finance minister is requested to introduce an alternate scheme, in the forthcoming Budget," RKMs national president Shekhar Dixit said. He made the appeal after attending a protest by farmers in Mandola village in Gaziabad Dixit said that if the government really wants to help farmers hit by natural calamities, the only course left is to implement the scheme by itself, without involving private companies. In the existing system, farmers feel cheated as they find themselves trapped between the scheme and its implementation process by the companies, he claimed. "The Rin Mochan Yojna, is a fine gesture of the government, but it has also turned into a false hope to farmers, owing to the faulty system of the banks," he claimed. On the protest at Mandola, the RKM leader alleged that 26,000 acres of land of farmers was acquired by the Gaziabad Development Authority at throw away price in 2013. "The worst part of the acquisition was the transfer of land to builders, for the construction of flats, complexes," he alleged. Dixit said that he would give a memorandum to the Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister, demanding compensation for farmers at present rates and alternate agricultural land. Source - https://www.indiatoday.in

01.02.2018

USA - New farm bill may not see much change for corn and soybeans

Ohio corn and soybean farmers likely won’t see a lot of changes in the next federal farm bill, according to an expert from the College of Food, Agricultural, and Environmental Sciences (CFAES) at The Ohio State University. “There’s momentum for minimal changes, but there are some key issues that have to be resolved,” said Carl Zulauf, an agricultural economist and professor emeritus with CFAES. Among those issues are funding to support cotton and dairy farmers, research, and water quality. The current farm bill is scheduled to expire on Sept. 30, 2018. This legislation affects the livelihood of farmers and others because it funds a host of programs including crop revenue and price support programs that provide assistance when farm income or crop prices drop. And in recent years, the trend has been toward lower commodity prices and declining overall farm revenue. Across the nation, dairy farmers feel they’re not getting enough assistance from the federal government, but the dairy industry is divided on what type of program it wants, Zulauf said. Currently dairy farmers can participate in a government-subsidized insurance program that pays them if the difference between the cost of feeding cows and the price farmers get for their milk is too narrow. Large and small dairy producers want different modifications to the insurance program. “It’s hard for policy makers to make changes when the group they are trying to help can’t agree,” Zulauf said. Cotton farmers too are vocal about the need for more federal revenue supports. Though cotton doesn’t grow in Ohio, farmers in the state could be affected if money is shifted to fund better support for cotton farmers and away from financial safety nets in place for farmers of Ohio-grown crops. The current federal commodity programs for soybean and corn farmers are generally popular. Corn and soybean farmers can enroll in either Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) or Price Loss Coverage (PLC). Farmers who enroll in either program receive a payment when a farmer’s overall revenues or crop prices dip below a certain guaranteed amount. The most recent farm bill, which was passed in 2014, was designed with the anticipation that farm income would decline, said Ben Brown, who manages CFAES’s farm management program, which provides farm policy and market information to Ohio farmers and others. In 2015, when farmers could first sign up for the ARC or PLC programs, the majority of corn and soybean farmers opted for the ARC program because they anticipated better returns from the program, Brown said. But this year, if the programs are not changed, more farmers likely will enroll in the PLC program because the price of commodities has gone down so significantly, the PLC program likely will offer better returns, Brown pointed out. “Still, the majority of farmers would rather have stable markets than having to rely on government payments,” he said. The farm bill also includes conservation programs. Some policy experts are concerned that the current farm bill’s programs are not as effective as they should be, Zulauf said. “It’s not just a question of the level of funding, but also whether the programs are improving environmental quality, especially water quality,” he said. Although the current farm bill expires Sept. 30, there’s no indication when Congress will pass a new bill or if it will opt instead to extend the current bill for an additional one or two years. “If we don’t have a farm bill, there’s going to be a lot of uncertainty,” Brown said. “As farmers go to tend to their crop or milk their cows, it’s always helpful to know what the rules of the game are going to be.” Source - http://ocj.com

31.01.2018

USA - Few crop insurance changes for 2018

The USDA Risk Management Agency has released rates needed to calculate a 2018 crop insurance premium. The Revenue Protection rate changes suggest slightly higher corn premiums and lower soybean premiums. Given that 2018 projected prices and volatilities are trending lower than the February 2017 values, premiums in 2018 could be near or slightly lower than those of the previous year. As a result, premium changes likely will not influence 2018 crop insurance decisions or planting intentions. Minor changes for 2018 include: • Yield cups (minimum levels) will no longer be automatically included on your crop insurance policy. In the past, when a new yield record was added to a farm’s annual production history, the APH had a cup of 10%; that is, the proven yield was not allowed to decline by more than 10% in one year. • Prevent plant buy-up has been reduced from +10% to +5%. If you had chosen to buy up coverage for prevented planting in the past, you could pay a higher premium and buy up to 10% more coverage. Now you can only buy up to 5% additional coverage. • “Practical to replant” has been changed. Insured farmers will now have only to plant 10 days into the late planting period to qualify for replant coverage. Revenue Protection (RP) is the most popular type of crop insurance policy Iowa farmers select annually. Choosing Revenue Protection guarantees the insured a level of revenue, based on the new crop futures price average in February multiplied by your farm’s average yields — the annual production history. Insured farmers can buy coverage between 50% and 85% of the revenue guarantee. Last year, in a typical Iowa county, the guarantee typically ranged from under $400 to more than $650 per acre of corn depending on the coverage level. RP can also include a higher price guarantee that’s set in the fall (harvest price), if the futures price average in October rises above the February average. Looking for ways to save on premium If they don’t want that harvest price, insured farmers can buy Revenue Protection with the Harvest Price Exclusion (RPwHPE). In some areas, that might cut your premiums in half, but caution should be used. Typically, about the only time Corn Belt growers get widespread indemnity payments from crop insurance is after a drought. If drought is widespread enough to affect the Corn Belt, corn prices usually rise. Growers with the cheaper RPwHPE would collect little or no indemnity payments. Another way to cut premiums is to use the APH Yield Exclusion authorized by the 2014 Farm Bill. It allows you to toss out a low-yield year from your APH, if your county also had average yields at least 50% lower than the previous 10-year average. That will raise your APH, and if it goes up more than 5%, you could lower your coverage level from say 85% to 80% and pay a lower premium. You would have the same dollar guarantee, but you’ll pay less for it because of the higher subsidy rate for lower coverage levels. For most counties in Iowa, the Yield Exclusion isn’t an option. That’s because those counties haven’t had yields below 50% of their average in any of the most recent years. Another method to reduce premium costs is shifting from smaller optional units at the farm level to an enterprise unit that includes all of a farm’s fields in a county. It may be worth the insured farmer’s time to review this structure with their crop insurance agent well in advance of the March 15 deadline for making 2018 changes. Preharvest marketing with RP Perhaps the greatest advantage of RP crop insurance is the ability to lock in commodity prices in the spring and early summer when futures prices are normally higher than the spring projected price guarantee. An example might be a farm with 80% coverage level and an APH of 180 bushels an acre. The insured could sell up to 144 bushels an acre and have those bushels protected by the higher of the spring projected price guarantee or the harvest price. Each year for five straight years new crop corn and soybean futures prices have traded above the crop insurance spring projected prices (usually peaking in April to mid-July). Thus, preharvest marketing with Revenue Protection crop insurance should be considered annually. And the uncertainty of South American production can also provide higher soybean futures prices from mid-November to January. You can learn more about crop insurance and the USDA farm financial safety net at rma.usda.gov. Source - http://www.wallacesfarmer.com

31.01.2018

Cold weather, drought weigh on wheat conditions from Mexico to Canada

It is interesting to note that while much of the commodity market attention recently has been on South America there is a large part of North America that has been quite dry this autumn and winter. Drought is affecting many areas from Mexico through the U.S. Plains to the heart of Canada’s Prairies. The area is normally responsible for much of the quality wheat and other small grains that are produced from North America, and if significant moisture does not fall soon the spring season could be marred by drought. Precipitation has been well below average in most of the region from central and southern Kansas through Oklahoma, Texas and the southwestern United States to much of Mexico’s wheat region in recent months. A part of northeastern Mexico has had more normal precipitation, but the La Niña event that is underway is certainly curbing rainfall across all other parts of the described region and farther north, as well. Precipitation in Canada’s Prairies and a part of the northern U.S. Plains also has been well below average this autumn and winter. The only exception has been in southern Alberta and across Montana, where precipitation has been greater than usual in recent weeks. Much of the moisture has occurred as snow remains stacked up on the ground. Some of the moisture from the snow will reach into the topsoil this spring as it melts, but frost in the ground will limit the soil’s ability to take in much of the moisture until the ground completely thaws. That is not likely before the snow melts. Drought in Montana and southern Alberta lingering from last summer and autumn is still present, but the situation in these areas is not as serious as that in the heart of Saskatchewan and southward into portions of the western Dakotas. Portions of both Saskatchewan and South Dakota were snow free during the bitter cold outbreaks of late December and January. Temperatures at that time plummeted well below zero Fahrenheit and well below the potential damage threshold for unprotected winter wheat. Damage to crops likely occurred, but in the case of Saskatchewan drought last autumn may already have reduced the amount of wheat planting that took place. Nevertheless, production is bound to be lower due to winterkill and drought. The lack of snow cover correlates well with the lack of precipitation in general, and even though some locations in the Canadian Prairies and northern Plains have had near normal precipitation, “normal” is not enough to change drought status deep into the soil. Subsoil moisture is critically low and will stay that way into spring, despite any significant snowfall that might occur in the next few weeks. Frost runs deep into the ground in the areas that have been snow free this winter, and it will not come out of the soil until late in the spring unless temperatures turn warmer than usual early in the spring, which seems unlikely. In the meantime, worry over winterkill in the central U.S. Plains and in a small part of the lower Midwest is also present. Temperatures earlier in January slipped to -9 degrees Fahrenheit in southern Kansas and into the negative and positive single digits in northwestern Oklahoma, and the northern Texas Panhandle when snow cover was minimal. Dryland crops in the central Plains may have had a better chance of surviving the bitter cold without snow on the ground than irrigated crops. Irrigated wheat was much more susceptible to damage because of the more abundant moisture that was in the plants’ cells ready to burst when the crown of the plant froze hard and the odds are high that damage did occur.  Assessing the losses in Canada and the U.S. central Plains will not be possible before winter crops green up in the spring. Some of the crop will green up, but may not be capable of filling heads with grain because of the cold damage and assessing the loss in that situation will not be possible until the harvest. To complicate matters a little more, some of the damaged wheat that does green up in the spring will have potential to set new tillers that might be capable of filling heads normally. However, for those crops that do tiller in the spring they will require significant amounts of moisture to restore favorable soil conditions to support new crop development. That brings us back to the original concern over dryness. Rainfall over the 90-day period ended Jan. 22 was less than half of normal from north-central and west-central Kansas southward into the Texas Panhandle. Parts of Mexico’s wheat region also reported less than half of normal rainfall. Many areas in southern hard red winter wheat areas in the U.S. Plains received less than 15% of normal precipitation with a few areas completely dry. Farther north in the drier areas of South Dakota precipitation in the previous 90 days was 50% to 75% of normal while that in Canada’s central Prairies was less than 40% of normal outside of southern Alberta. Not all areas have been dry. A recent blizzard from northeastern Colorado through Nebraska and far northwestern Kansas did produce greater-than-usual precipitation, but at this time of year normal precipitation is not very much. That region, like Montana and southern Alberta, however, has seen greater-than-usual precipitation that might be of some use to crops in the spring, but only in areas where frost is not in the ground. The outlook for each of these drought-stricken areas does not offer much potential for change in the next few weeks. February is expected to start out quite dry with a new bout of bitter cold in the northern Plains and Canada. Recent forecast models have brought a little hope for a boost in precipitation in late February. At that time the cold air may pool into the western parts of the United States, and that should change the upper air wind flow to one that extends from southwest to northeast across the United States. A southwesterly wind flow aloft can bring needed moisture into the central Plains, but this year’s pattern will occur while weak La Niña conditions are prevailing. That may curb some of the precipitation potential, especially in Texas, Oklahoma and northern Mexico. World Weather, Inc.’s official forecast does support the potential for greater precipitation in March and April from the southern Rocky Mountain region through the central Plains to the upper Midwest and western Great Lakes region. The pattern should bring some relief to dryness in the central Plains, but it is still questionable whether significant precipitation will reach into Texas, Oklahoma or Mexico winter crop areas. In the meantime, Canada’s Prairies will be too far to the north for significant precipitation increases to occur through early spring. There is potential for improvement during the second half of spring, but some areas in western Saskatchewan and east-central Alberta may find it difficult for significant precipitation to reach into those areas until the start of planting. With low subsoil moisture the odds are high that crops will struggle with limited moisture into the early summer when rain finally does evolve. Source - http://www.world-grain.com

31.01.2018

Zimbabwe - Govt to conduct nationwide crop assessment

Government plans to carry out the first round of nationwide crop and livestock assessments to ascertain the severity of the prolonged dry spell. Lands, Agriculture and Rural Resettlement Deputy Minister Cde Davis Marapira yesterday confirmed that Government would carry out a nationwide crop assessment to map out appropriate intervention measures. “The crop and livestock assessment is expected to reveal the area planted under different crops, the state of the crops and the hectarage affected by the dry spell. It will also reveal the state of livestock, availability of pastures and water,” said Cde Marapira. “Farmers should continue to look after their crops and seek assistance from Agritex officials on the ground when carrying out agronomic practices such as fertiliser application,” he said. Cde Marapira expressed concern over the dry weather conditions that have affected most crops across the country. Erratic rains and high temperatures being experienced countrywide have resulted in severe moisture stress and wilting of crops. This has also affected pastures. Farmers in some areas are already counting losses as their crops are now a write-off. The worst affected crops are maize, dryland tobacco, which is now showing false ripening and some small grains that are wilting. Agritex has confirmed that farmers are worried over the erratic rains and high temperatures. In Mashonaland Central, the most affected area is Rushinga, where 10 percent of the planted maize has reached permanent wilting stage. Tobacco is also showing signs of false ripening due to the high temperatures, while cotton is doing well. In Masvingo, hot temperatures have affected crops, with maize in Chivi, Zaka and Gutu reaching permanent wilting point. Small grains are also showing signs of moisture stress in these areas. Some farmers had planned to plant in January but have not been able to do so because of the dry weather conditions. In Mwenezi and Chiredzi, farmers are being urged to mobilise supplementary feeding for their livestock as the dry weather conditions are also affecting animals. There are fears that some farmers may feed their livestock wilted maize stocks. The Division of Livestock and Veterinary Services urged farmers not to feed their cattle with the crop residues especially if they had applied top dressing fertiliser. A crop that has been top dressed and wilts without having utilised the ammonium nitrate is poisonous to livestock due to nitrates. The distribution and intensity of the rains this season has been very poor across the SADC region. Meanwhile, the Meteorological Services Department reported that the cloud system currently affecting the country had resulted in thunderstorms concentrated in provinces like Midlands, Mashonaland West, Harare metropolitan and northern parts of Masvingo. The falls varied in amounts with Harare’s Crowborough recording 102mm, Serima 76mm, Banket 70mm, Mhondoro 65mm. The weather is expected to be cloudy and warm with occasional rain and outbreaks of thunder. Localised heavier falls are expected along the watershed and over high ground in Matabeleland North, Bulawayo, and all Mashonaland provinces, Harare, North of Midlands and North of Manicaland. In Matabeleland South, south of Midlands, Masvingo and south of Manicaland, the weather is expected to be generally sunny and warm although some localised cloudiness is expected. Source - http://www.herald.co.zw

31.01.2018

Argentina - Drought hurts corn yields, more area cuts possible

Argentina’s corn crop will suffer yield losses due to drought this year and the estimated planting area may drop further because dry weather in the northern part of the country has blocked late-season planting, a top Agriculture Ministry official said. Regarding the country’s main cash crop, soybeans, no more planting area losses are expected for the 2017/18 season and the size of the harvest hinges on February rains, which will be crucial after three consecutive months of near constant sun, ministry Chief of Staff Santiago del Solar said in an interview. The government last week trimmed its 2017/18 soy planting area estimate to 16.75 million hectares - which would be a 10-year low as growers pile into corn - from its previous 16.8 million hectare forecast. Forecasted corn area was reduced to 8.7 million hectares from 8.8 million hectares. Of that 8.7 million hectares, 2.2 million is non-commercial corn that will feed livestock without ever leaving the farm. “The drought had an impact on early-planted corn, particularly during the silking stage around Christmas time,” del Solar said. “When you travel around you can see that. Late planted corn may get some rains that could still help.” Elaborating further on the corn area, del Solar said: “Maybe it’s going to be a little less” than the most recent 8.7 million hectare estimate. Argentina is the world’s No. 3 exporter of both corn and soybeans, and the No. 1 supplier of soymeal livestock feed. U.S. soybean futures climbed for the 10th time in 12 sessions on Tuesday while corn scaled to the highest level in more than five months amid concerns that the weather in South America could hamper production of the crops in Brazil and Argentina. Drought-hit Argentina received only scattered rain over the weekend, mostly in northern and central portions of the country, meteorologists said. They expect most crop areas to turn drier and warmer than normal this week. “Soy yields depend on how much rain we get in February, but the rain has to start now. It’s really critical,” del Solar said. “But we can see that over the next three or four days it’s not going to rain,” he added, gesturing toward the pristine blue skies outside the window of his Buenos Aires office. Although sunny, temperatures on the Pampas grains belt have not been excessively high. “It was not very hot over the last week, that helps a bit to mitigate the effect,” del Solar said. With some U.S. trade agreements in doubt, del Solar said Argentina will be on the outlook for new export markets that could be left without U.S. farm products. “We don’t know exactly what’s going on with the trade agreements of the United States, but we will be there with great products at great prices offered to the countries that will need to buy from us,” del Solar said. “We are opening our economy.” President Mauricio Macri was elected in late 2015 on a platform of ditching trade and currency controls and reducing grains export taxes that had weighed on the farm sector during the administration of previous President Cristina Fernandez, who expanded the government’s role in Latin America’s No. 3 economy. Source - https://www.reuters.com

31.01.2018

Philippines - Crops damaged by Mayon activity valued at P165.54 million

Filipino farmers in Albay have incurred losses amounting to P165.54 million due to the eruption of Mayon Volcano, the Department of Agriculture (DA) said in a report released on Tuesday. “As of January 30, the damages and losses to the agriculture sector brought about by the activity of Mayon Volcano is now at P165.54 million, affecting a total of 8,138 hectares of agricultural areas in the province of Albay,” the DA said. The DA pegged the production loss at 36,023 metric tons (MT). Crops damaged were rice, corn, high value crops and fiber crops. Mayon’s activity also affected at least 8,294 farmers. “Rice contributed the largest share of the production losses at 82.45 percent, or P139.79 million,” the DA report read. “The affected area of 6,380 hectares is equivalent to 61.35 percent of the total standing crop of 10,399 hectares. The losses were due to the effect of ash fall to the leaves and tillers of newly planted rice crops,” it added. The DA said Mayon Volcano eruptions affected some 4,253 rice farmers in the municipalities of Santo Domingo, Malilipot, Legazpi City, Daraga, Camalig, Guinobatan, Ligao, Polangui and Oas. Damage to high value crops has reached P20.89 million, affecting a total area of 1,049 hectares, with an estimated volume loss of about 36,032 MT, according to the DA. “Affected vegetable crops are ampalaya, baguio beans, eggplant, okra, pole sitao, sayote, sili, tomato and upo, which are on their fruiting stage,” the report read. “Moreover, losses on high value crops contribute to 12.62 percent of the total production losses reported.” Some 773 corn farmers in Albay have incurred losses amounting to P4.378 million, according to the DA. “Damage to corn has contributed to 2.65 percent of the total production losses affecting 708 hectares of corn at seedling and vegetative growth stages.” The DA said farmers planting fiber crops, particularly abaca, have registered production losses amounting to P478,000. The DA added that the estimated volume loss was pegged at 6 MT planted in 99 hectares. Government aid The National Food Authority (NFA) said it has released about 13,456 bags of rice to various local government units (LGUs) and agencies as part of their relief operations for the victims of the eruption of Mayon Volcano. In a statement, NFA Administrator Jason L.Y. Aquino said the food agency’s field offices in Region 5 are closely coordinating with concerned LGUs, the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) and Office of Civil Defense to ensure that the rice requirements of the evacuees are met. “We have a standing memorandum of agreement with relief agencies, such as the DSWD, Office of Civil Defense and LGUs for the supply of their rice requirements for relief operations during natural disasters, calamities and other emergencies,” Aquino said. As of January 29, the NFA said the provincial government of Albay received the biggest volume at 3,300 bags. It was followed by the Legazpi City government, which received 2,686 bags. The NFA added that they gave 1,700 bags of rice to the Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council, while 1,600 bags were released to the Office of Congressman Joey Salceda. The NFA said it also released bags of rice to the Office of Vice President, Department of Public Works and Highways and various lawmakers and LGUs affected by the eruptions by Mayon Volcano. “Our operations center is open 24-hours to monitor the situation in the area and provide quick response to queries and accommodate LGUs, relief agencies and other institutions withdrawing their rice purchases for distribution to affected families,” said Aquino. Source - https://businessmirror.com.ph

31.01.2018

Philippines - House passes bill for full crop insurance

The House of Representatives approved on third and final reading a bill granting agrarian reform beneficiaries full crop insurance coverage for losses caused by natural calamities and pest infestation. With 201 congressmen voting in the affirmative and zero negative, House bill 6686, a bill authored by Deputy Speaker and Ilocos Sur Rep. Eric D. Singson, was passed on final reading. Co-authored by Batangas Rep. Vilma Santos-Recto, HB 6686 has won bipartisan support as an amendment to Republic Act No. 97000 or the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program Extension with Reforms.” HB 6686 provides for a full crop insurance coverage to farmer beneficiaries whose losses were the result of natural calamities such as typhoon, drought, volcanic eruption and flood. Singson said crop insurance covered by HB 6686 also includes agricultural losses triggered by plant diseases such as pathogens, bacteria, fungi, and pest infestations caused by nematodes, insects, mites, snails and other parasites. The House official said the legislative measure mandates that the term of crop insurance will be from planting to harvest. By granting full crop insurance to qualified CARP beneficiaries, food security and reasonable income for farmers may also be assured, said Singson. “Despite the existence of the PCIC (Philippine Crop Insurance Commission, only a small number of farmers avail of crop insurance because of the premium that they are required to pay. Although half of the premium is subsidized by the government the remaining 50 percent is still a burden to many of our farmers,” the senior administration lawmaker stated. The PCIC mitigates agricultural risks and addresses the consequences of natural disasters to make losses more bearable, especially to marginalized farmers. Under the bill, the Department of Agriculture and Department of Agrarian Reform will coordinate the needed operational requirements to implement the insurance program. On the other hand, the Landbank of the Philippines and DAR will submit to the DA the complete list of qualified beneficiaries and leaseholders to be included in the Registry System for Basic Sectors in Agriculture for inclusion in the program. Source - https://news.mb.com.ph

30.01.2018

Canada - Lower premiums for crop insurance in 2018

Insuring soybeans in Manitoba will be a lot cheaper this year, with premiums dropping an average of 17 per cent. That’s the biggest move in an across-the-board premium drop that sees an average reduction on all crops of seven per cent, Agriculture Minister Ralph Eichler said while speaking at Ag Days here Jan. 16. Other big changes to crop insurance coming in 2018 include: Elimination of the unpopular pre-harvest deductible on corn and soybeans, Permanently insuring soybeans that had been part of a test project, Increasing hail coverage, Offering insurance for novel crops, and Creating a new category for wheats in the Canadian Grain Commission’s Canada Northern Hard Red class. “These improvements have been implemented to reflect changes in the industry by ensuring better coverage for soybeans, hard red wheat and new emerging crops,” Eichler said. “That is the farmer’s money,” he said. “We want to be able to remain competitive, and with the increasing crop production over the last year, and very little payouts, we were able to accomplish a significant reduction in those premiums,” Eichler told reporters later. Crop insurance coverage is expected to total $2.7 billion in 2018, he said. Better data Soybean premiums went down because more long-term soybean yield data was used in the premium calculation, David Van Deynze, the Manitoba Agricultural Service Corporation’s (MASC) vice-president of insurance operations, said in an interview Jan. 17. Premiums are usually based on 25 years of yields, but soybeans haven’t been grown on large acreages that long in Manitoba. “We’ve got some recent good data and we decided to put a bigger emphasis on the data,” he said “Soybean losses have been relatively low for the last number of years. So it’s a pretty decent drop on our soybean premiums as a result of that.” The value assigned to insured crops, used to calculate payouts, is down an average of 2.2 per cent, Van Deynze said. (See 2018 crop dollar values on the MASC website) Canola, soybean, red spring wheat and northern hard red wheat values are $10.55, $10.61, $6.53 and $5.31 a bushel, respectively. MASC will send out premium and other crop insurance information to farmers in February. Premiums and coverage are based, in part, on each farmer’s production history and those in their risk area. For some crops, such as corn, individual long-term average yield is used. About 200,000 acres north of PTH 16 in the Parkland area of Manitoba will be permanently eligible for soybean coverage starting this spring, Van Deynze said. The change follows several years of testing to ensure soybeans were suited for the area. The Manitoba Pulse & Soybean Growers issued a statement supporting the change. Corn growers happy The president of the Manitoba Corn Growers Association (MCGA) is praising Eichler and MASC for dropping the controversial pre-harvest deductible on corn and soybeans. “The corn growers are very pleased with this,” Myron Krahn said in an interview Jan. 17. “It is something that we’ve raised with MASC every year since it introduced this deductible. We’ve been very firm that we’ve never liked this from the start. We’ve always thought it was treating corn growers unfairly.” Although there hasn’t been a big writeoff of corn since 2010 when the deductible was implemented, it has hurt some individual farmers, Krahn said. Under the policy if corn and soybean fields were written off in the fall before harvest, farmers received 85 per cent of their insurance coverage — a 15 per cent penalty. It was implemented following the writing off a large number of corn acres in 2009 due to mould. MASC officials said at the time it was done partly so farmers who don’t harvest a crop aren’t financially better off than those who do. Harvesting corn is expensive and almost always includes drying. If crop quality is poor, ripping it up and getting a crop insurance payout could be more attractive than harvesting it. “A lot of it was around budget pressures as well,” Van Deynze said. “We had to find ways to have a smaller budget and try to impact producers the least possible, and this was a compromise we tried to come to for it.” It was the wrong approach given agriculture’s contribution to Manitoba’s economy, Krahn said. “I think they got the message loud and clear and now they’ve acted on it so we’re very appreciative of that,” he said. It shows lobbying works and that governments do listen, Krahn added. Too quickly? In retrospect, MASC might have been too lenient when writing off cornfields, Van Deynze said. In 2009 some poor-quality corn was sold to make ethanol. “There’s a bit of a feeling that we, the industry, and producers, jumped the gun a little bit on this mouldy corn and working it up,” Van Deynze said. “I think we’re now a little bit more prepared as an industry to deal with a situation similar to 2009. That may have factored into it as well.” Asked if it will be harder now to write off mouldy corn, Van Deynze said: “There is very little likelihood MASC is going to write that off purely from a mould perspective.” MASC is creating a new insurance category for wheats in the CGC’s Canada Northern Hard Red class. The main varieties — Faller, Prosper and Elgin ND — are higher yielding and have been grown in Manitoba for several years. The varieties had been MASC’s feed wheat category. The ‘feed wheat’ category is now called ‘other spring wheat.’ Manitoba farmers will now be able to insure novel crops, Van Deynze said. “We have a number of producers who always like to try new things and it’s always a challenge from a crop insurance perspective to say how much coverage this crop should have,” he said. “We don’t know if it’s suitable for Manitoba, we don’t know how it grows necessarily.” Under this new option farmers can insure a novel crop for $120, $160 or $200 an acre. Payouts are triggered when traditional crops fail. “So if you have a claim on your wheat and your canola and soybeans we will give you a similar claim on your novel crops making the assumption that they were affected similarly with the weather pattern we had that particular year,” Van Deynze said. MASC’s hail coverage, which is funded totally by farmers without government subsidies, is also going up. Farmers can select $150, $200 or $250 acre coverage, up from $120, $160 and $200, respectively, he said. Source - https://www.manitobacooperator.ca

30.01.2018

Ukraine - Loss rate of winter cereals will be insignificant

Winter cereals are still at the state of induced dormancy. Their condition is now assessed as good and fair and their loss rates will be insignificant. Snow cover prevented frost penetration deeper into the soil. The lowest soil temperature at the tillering node depth of winter wheat were -7-80С in the east, -1-70С in the south, -4-70С in the north and -4-50С in the western and central regions. This is far above the killing temperature level calculated by agrometeorologists at 14-200С. The soil is close-knit and well moistened. At the moment, there is no threat of plant uprooting yet. The results of plant growing tests conducted in the Crop Farming Institute indicted the survival rate of winter cereals (wheat, rye, triticale) at 95-98% as of January 25. Source - http://www.blackseagrain.net

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