40 years of data confirm hurricanes are getting stronger

26.05.2020 417 views
The most powerful storms on our planet have grown substantially stronger, and almost forty years' worth of hurricane satellite imagery suggest a warming planet might be fuelling the changes. According to the data, the likelihood of a hurricane developing into a category 3 storm or greater, with sustained winds of over 177 kilometres per hour (110 miles per hour), has increased by about 8 percent every decade since 1979. "Our results show that these storms have become stronger on global and regional levels, which is consistent with expectations of how hurricanes respond to a warming world," says climate scientist James Kossin from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Climate researchers have long suspected there would be an increase in stronger hurricanes, since warmer ocean temperatures and added moisture in the atmosphere tend to energise these storms. Real-world data, however, has been trickier to come by. Hurricanes – also known as tropical cyclones and typhoons, depending on where they originate – only appear sporadically, and can be difficult to study. Plus, these storms are often ignored if they don't directly impact upon on humans. "The main hurdle we have for finding trends is that the data are collected using the best technology at the time," says Kossin. "Every year the data are a bit different than last year, each new satellite has new tools and captures data in different ways, so in the end we have a patchwork quilt of all the satellite data that have been woven together." Thanks to computers though, which can help us to interpret satellite images of storms around the world, the team has now shown that from 1979 to 2017 there was a detectable trend toward stronger hurricanes – and this matches up consistently with greenhouse warming simulations. "It's a good step forward and increases our confidence that global warming has made hurricanes stronger," says Kossin, "but our results don't tell us precisely how much of the trends are caused by human activities and how much may be just natural variability." Ultimately, the authors admit there are many other factors, other than climate change, that contribute to hurricane intensity. And yet, based on our current understanding of greenhouse warming, there really seems to be a "likely human fingerprint" on these rapid and dangerous changes. "Through modelling and our understanding of atmospheric physics, the study agrees with what we would expect to see in a warming climate like ours," says Kossin. Kerry Emanuel, a hurricane expert who was not involved in the study, told that while the hurricane research community may debate over whether hurricanes are slowing down (potentially causing more destruction as a result over land), there's generally more agreement that these storms are bringing greater rainfall with warming oceans. This new, real-world research, Emanuel says, is a "gratifying confirmation of what the field was concluding anyway... a much more robust indicator that now we're really seeing this in nature". Source - https://www.sciencealert.com
04.05.2026

Bulgaria's Kyustendil cherry crop severely affected by frost for second consecutive year

Frosts have caused critical damage to cherry orchards in the Kyustendil region of Bulgaria for the second consecutive spring, with producers reporting near-total crop losses. 

04.05.2026

Vietnam - MoF moves to expand farm insurance support and eligibility

The Ministry of Finance has proposed sharply increasing agricultural insurance premium subsidies to up to 95 per cent and widening the pool of eligible beneficiaries to better share risks with producers, stabilise farm incomes, and strengthen climate resilience.

04.05.2026

Bangladesh - One lakh hectares of rice fields go underwater in haor regions

What should have been a vibrant harvest season in the country’s haor belt across seven districts has instead turned into widespread devastation. 

04.05.2026

Philippines - P150-M insurance buffer vs El Niño but PCIC limits coverage to irrigated farms

The Philippine Crop Insurance Corporation (PCIC) in Western Visayas has set aside P150 million in drought insurance as El Niño conditions intensify, with officials warning that the region is already nearing “critical” risk levels that could threaten thousands of farmers in the coming cropping season.

04.05.2026

Indian banana crops damaged across 809 hectares in Tamil Nadu

Strong winds and heavy rainfall in parts of Tamil Nadu have damaged banana crops across districts, including Theni, Dindigul, Coimbatore, and Salem.

04.05.2026

Poland reports up to 100% fruit crop losses after late April frosts

Fruit growers in Poland are assessing losses after late April frosts damaged crops across multiple regions, with eastern areas most affected and stone fruit production under pressure.

03.05.2026

Vietnam - Aid for agricultural insurance premiums proposed to rise

The Ministry of Finance has proposed increasing support for agricultural insurance premiums and expanding eligible beneficiaries in a move aimed at encouraging greater participation by farmers and agricultural organisations.

03.05.2026

USA - MDARD Awards Over $3.2 Million Through Resilient Food Systems Infrastructure Grant Program

The Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development (MDARD) today announced more than $3.2 million of grants to 10 Michigan entities through the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Resilient Food Systems Infrastructure (RFSI) Grant Program.