40 years of data confirm hurricanes are getting stronger

26.05.2020 374 views
The most powerful storms on our planet have grown substantially stronger, and almost forty years' worth of hurricane satellite imagery suggest a warming planet might be fuelling the changes. According to the data, the likelihood of a hurricane developing into a category 3 storm or greater, with sustained winds of over 177 kilometres per hour (110 miles per hour), has increased by about 8 percent every decade since 1979. "Our results show that these storms have become stronger on global and regional levels, which is consistent with expectations of how hurricanes respond to a warming world," says climate scientist James Kossin from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Climate researchers have long suspected there would be an increase in stronger hurricanes, since warmer ocean temperatures and added moisture in the atmosphere tend to energise these storms. Real-world data, however, has been trickier to come by. Hurricanes – also known as tropical cyclones and typhoons, depending on where they originate – only appear sporadically, and can be difficult to study. Plus, these storms are often ignored if they don't directly impact upon on humans. "The main hurdle we have for finding trends is that the data are collected using the best technology at the time," says Kossin. "Every year the data are a bit different than last year, each new satellite has new tools and captures data in different ways, so in the end we have a patchwork quilt of all the satellite data that have been woven together." Thanks to computers though, which can help us to interpret satellite images of storms around the world, the team has now shown that from 1979 to 2017 there was a detectable trend toward stronger hurricanes – and this matches up consistently with greenhouse warming simulations. "It's a good step forward and increases our confidence that global warming has made hurricanes stronger," says Kossin, "but our results don't tell us precisely how much of the trends are caused by human activities and how much may be just natural variability." Ultimately, the authors admit there are many other factors, other than climate change, that contribute to hurricane intensity. And yet, based on our current understanding of greenhouse warming, there really seems to be a "likely human fingerprint" on these rapid and dangerous changes. "Through modelling and our understanding of atmospheric physics, the study agrees with what we would expect to see in a warming climate like ours," says Kossin. Kerry Emanuel, a hurricane expert who was not involved in the study, told that while the hurricane research community may debate over whether hurricanes are slowing down (potentially causing more destruction as a result over land), there's generally more agreement that these storms are bringing greater rainfall with warming oceans. This new, real-world research, Emanuel says, is a "gratifying confirmation of what the field was concluding anyway... a much more robust indicator that now we're really seeing this in nature". Source - https://www.sciencealert.com
19.02.2026

USA - Florida suspends farm inspections after freeze and drought losses

Florida Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson has issued an emergency order suspending certain regulatory requirements for agricultural producers following severe winter weather, drought conditions, and elevated wildfire risk. 

19.02.2026

Ukraine - Fertilizer Shortage Threatens Up to 20% Crop Loss

The All-Ukrainian Agrarian Council and the Ukrainian Agrarian Business Association have appealed to the Ministry of Economy, Environment, and Agriculture of Ukraine to urgently allow the import of ammonium nitrate through seaports.

19.02.2026

Bangladesh - Rivers dry up in Kurigram, raising fears for irrigation and crop loss

Experts blame climate impacts and silting for reducing river capacity. The situation threatens a severe irrigation crisis, with knock-on effects for agriculture and local biodiversity.

19.02.2026

Canada - MASC pilots new approach to offer forage insurance for 2026 crop year

Manitoba Agricultural Services Corporation Pilots New Satellite-Based Forage Insurance Project For 2026 Crop Year.

19.02.2026

India - Raj to order SOG probe into crop insurance scheme irregularities

Agriculture minister Kirori Lal Meena said Monday Rajasthan govt will order a Special Operations Group (SOG) probe into the alleged irregularities in the implementation of the Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY) in the state. 

19.02.2026

USA - Over $250M invested to protect natural resources and support farmers

The Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development announced today that it has administered more than a quarter billion dollars in grant funding to strengthen Michigan’s food, forestry and agriculture economy; create new jobs; and cultivate rural prosperity since the start of Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s administration in 2019.

18.02.2026

$15m AI space project to help boost Australian agriculture

The Australasian Space Innovation Institute (ASII) has launched a $15 million National Digital Twin for Australian Agriculture to establish a capability for coordinated decision-making and innovation across the agriculture, forestry and fisheries system at a national scale.

18.02.2026

Turkey - TARSİM Delivers Over 586 Million Lira in Compensation to Flood-Affected Farmers in Antalya

TARSİM has provided extensive financial support to Antalya’s flood-affected farmers, paying out 257 million lira to those whose claim processes have been completed and preparing an additional 329 million lira in compensation for pending cases.